$DOT at $1.21 and I'll be honest, I missed the $1.18 hold last week and that one stings. Price drifts in a $0.04 range all day while every moving average above acts as a ceiling, the 7 1D MA at $1.23, the 25 1D MA at $1.25, all the way up to the 200 1D MA at $1.41. RSI at 26.9 is deep oversold but volume dropped 27.8% week over week, and that tells me buyers aren't showing up with conviction yet. If $1.18 support holds and broader sentiment shifts, a reclaim of $1.23 is the first real target. If that level cracks, Polkadot bleeds toward $1.10 or lower with no structural reason to stop. BTC dominance at 58.5% and alts underperforming across the board makes the recovery case harder to trust. My bias is cautious neutral over the next 5 to 7 days. I want to see volume return before I consider an entry, because oversold can stay oversold for a long time when capital is rotating elsewhere. The real question I'm watching: does funding at -0.0066% signal genuine short exhaustion, or is it just reflecting how little anyone cares about Polkadot at these prices? #TrumpWarOverIranTalks #CLARITYActYieldRules #EFSells47MInETH